When perception is reality: Subjective expectations and contracting

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Marc F. Bellemare focuses on the emergence of subjective perceptions on variables concerning plot, landlord household, and tenant household. The average landlord feels that there is a 0.94% probability that she will lose her plot due to the contract that she signed with her tenant and a 2.21% probability that she would lose her plot if she were to sign the alternative contract. Few variables are significant in each specification, and only the age of the tenant has a significant impact on all three subjective perceptions of tenurial insecurity. Conversely, while the subjective perception of tenurial insecurity under fixed rent is only affected by plot-specific covariates, these have no impact on the subjective perception of tenurial insecurity under sharecropping. Marc feels that the only variable to have an impact on the change in tenurial insecurity due to a change of contract is the tenant's age.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)1377-1381
Number of pages5
JournalAmerican Journal of Agricultural Economics
Issue number5
StatePublished - 2009

Bibliographical note

Funding Information:
The author wishes to thank Chris Barrett for his help and advice throughout the data collection process. He also acknowledges the generous financial support of the National Science Foundation through Doctoral Dissertation Improvement Grant SES-0350713; the United States Agency for International Development through grant LAG-A-00-96-90016-00 to the BASIS CRSP; and the Social Science Research Council with funds provided by the John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation.


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