The optimal management of renewable resources under the risk of potential regime shift

Bijie Ren, Stephen Polasky

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

33 Scopus citations

Abstract

Complex dynamic systems can undergo changes in feedbacks between system components causing a rapid and persistent shift in system behavior ("regime shifts"), and potentially reduce welfare from declining provision of important ecosystem services. In this paper, we provide an analytical condition that determinfilefs whether the threat of a potential regime shift causes management to be more aggressive or more precautionary. In numerical simulations we find that aggressive management can occur for reasonable parameter values, which is counter prior results that the potential for harmful regime shift always leads to precautionary management.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)195-212
Number of pages18
JournalJournal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Volume40
DOIs
StatePublished - Mar 2014

Keywords

  • Growth
  • Optimal management
  • Regime shift
  • Renewable resources
  • Uncertainty

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