Surrogate model for probabilistic modeling of atmospheric entry for small NEO's

Piyush M. Mehta, Martin Kubicek, Edmondo Minisci, Massimiliano Vasile

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

2 Scopus citations


Near Earth Objects (NEOs) enter the Earths atmosphere on a regular basis. Depending on the size, object and entry parameters; these objects can burn-up through ablation (complete evaporation), undergo fragmentation of varying nature, or impact the ground unperturbed. Parameters that influence the physics during entry are either unknown or highly uncertain. In this work, we propose a probabilistic approach for simulating entry. Probabilistic modeling typically requires an expensive Monte Carlo approach. In this work, we develop and present a novel engineering approach of developing surrogate models for simulation of the atmospheric entry accounting for drag, ablation, evaporation, fragmentation, and ground impact.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Title of host publicationSpaceflight Mechanics 2016
EditorsMartin T. Ozimek, Renato Zanetti, Angela L. Bowes, Ryan P. Russell, Martin T. Ozimek
PublisherUnivelt Inc.
Number of pages16
ISBN (Print)9780877036333
StatePublished - 2016
Event26th AAS/AIAA Space Flight Mechanics Meeting, 2016 - Napa, United States
Duration: Feb 14 2016Feb 18 2016

Publication series

NameAdvances in the Astronautical Sciences
ISSN (Print)0065-3438


Other26th AAS/AIAA Space Flight Mechanics Meeting, 2016
Country/TerritoryUnited States

Bibliographical note

Funding Information:
For Piyush Mehta is provided by the European Commission through the Marie Curie Initial Training Network (ITN) STARDUST under grant number 317185. Partial support for Martin Kubicek is provided by 'OPTIMAD Engineering Srl'.


Dive into the research topics of 'Surrogate model for probabilistic modeling of atmospheric entry for small NEO's'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this