@inproceedings{6ea7fa385b0b44eb9981664673fb229c,
title = "Safely using predictions in general-sum normal form games",
abstract = "It is often useful to predict opponent behavior when playing a general- sum two-player normal form game. However best-responding to an inaccurate prediction can lead to a strategy which is vulnerable to exploitation. This paper proposes a novel method, Restricted Stackelberg Response with Safety (RSRS), for an agent to select a strategy to respond to a prediction. The agent uses the confidence it has in the prediction and a safety margin which reflects the level of risk it is willing to tolerate to make a controlled trade-off be-Tween best-responding to the prediction and providing a guarantee of worst-case performance. We describe an algorithm which selects parameter values for RSRS to produce strategies that play well against the prediction, respond to a best-responding opponent, and guard against worst-case outcomes. We report results obtained by the algorithm on multiple general-sum games against different opponents.",
keywords = "Game theory, General-sum normal form games, Prediction errors, Risk management",
author = "Steven Damer and Gini, {Maria L}",
year = "2017",
month = jan,
day = "1",
language = "English (US)",
series = "Proceedings of the International Joint Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems, AAMAS",
publisher = "International Foundation for Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems (IFAAMAS)",
pages = "924--932",
editor = "Sanmay Das and Edmund Durfee and Kate Larson and Michael Winikoff",
booktitle = "16th International Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems, AAMAS 2017",
note = "16th International Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems, AAMAS 2017 ; Conference date: 08-05-2017 Through 12-05-2017",
}