Primary graft dysfunction grade 3 following pediatric lung transplantation is associated with chronic lung allograft dysfunction

Background: Severe primary graft dysfunction (PGD) is associated with the development of bronchiolitis obliterans syndrome (BOS), the most common form of chronic lung allograft dysfunction (CLAD), in adults. However, PGD associations with long-term outcomes following pediatric lung transplantation are unknown. We hypothesized that PGD grade 3 (PGD 3) at 48- or 72-hours would be associated with shorter CLAD-free survival following pediatric lung transplantation. Methods: This was a single center retrospective cohort study of patients ≤ 21 years of age who underwent bilateral lung transplantation between 2005 and 2019 with ≥ 1 year of follow-up. PGD and CLAD were defined by published criteria. We evaluated the association of PGD 3 at 48- or 72-hours with CLAD-free survival by using time-to-event analyses. Results: Fifty-one patients were included (median age 12.7 years; 51% female). The most common transplant indications were cystic fibrosis (29%) and pulmonary hypertension (20%). Seventeen patients (33%) had PGD 3 at either 48- or 72-hours. In unadjusted analysis, PGD 3 was associated with an increased risk of CLAD or mortality (HR 2.10, 95% CI 1.01-4.37, p=0.047). This association remained when adjusting individually for multiple potential confounders. There was evidence of effect modification by sex (interaction p = 0.055) with the association of PGD 3 and shorter CLAD-free survival driven predominantly by males (HR 4.73, 95% CI 1.44-15.6) rather than females (HR 1.23, 95% CI 0.47-3.20). Conclusions: PGD 3 at 48- or 72-hours following pediatric lung transplantation was associated with shorter CLAD-free survival. Sex may be a modifier of this association.