Popper’s probability calculus and the decline of scientific disruptiveness

Lutz Bornmann, Russell J. Funk

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Research suggests that the disruptiveness of scientific research has declined over recent decades. Several explanations have been published for the decrease. In this paper, we add another explanation based on a probability calculus for explaining progress in science from the philosopher of science Karl Popper.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)4801-4807
Number of pages7
JournalScientometrics
Volume130
Issue number8
DOIs
StatePublished - Aug 2025

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© The Author(s) 2025.

Keywords

  • CD index
  • Disruption index

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