Parimutuel betting on permutations

Shipra Agrawal, Zizhuo Wang, Yinyu Ye

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

13 Scopus citations

Abstract

We focus on a permutation betting market under parimutuel call auction model where traders bet on final rankings of n candidates. We present a Proportional Betting mechanism for this market. Our mechanism allows traders to bet on any subset of the n 2 'candidate-rank' pairs, and rewards them proportionally to the number of pairs that appear in the final outcome. We show that market organizer's decision problem for this mechanism can be formulated as a convex program of polynomial size. Further, the formulation yields a set of n 2 unique marginal prices that are sufficient to price the bets in this mechanism, and are computable in polynomial-time. These marginal prices reflect the traders' beliefs about the marginal distributions over outcomes. More importantly, we propose techniques to compute the joint distribution over n! permutations from these marginal distributions. We show that using a maximum entropy criterion, we can obtain a concise parametric form (with only n 2 parameters) for the joint distribution which is defined over an exponentially large state space. We then present an approximation algorithm for computing the parameters of this distribution. In fact, our algorithm addresses a generic problem of finding the maximum entropy distribution over permutations that has a given mean, and is of independent interest.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Title of host publicationInternet and Network Economics - 4th International Workshop, WINE 2008, Proceedings
Pages126-137
Number of pages12
DOIs
StatePublished - Dec 1 2008
Externally publishedYes
Event4th International Workshop on Internet and Network Economics, WINE 2008 - Shanghai, China
Duration: Dec 17 2008Dec 20 2008

Publication series

NameLecture Notes in Computer Science (including subseries Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence and Lecture Notes in Bioinformatics)
Volume5385 LNCS
ISSN (Print)0302-9743
ISSN (Electronic)1611-3349

Other

Other4th International Workshop on Internet and Network Economics, WINE 2008
CountryChina
CityShanghai
Period12/17/0812/20/08

Fingerprint Dive into the research topics of 'Parimutuel betting on permutations'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

  • Cite this

    Agrawal, S., Wang, Z., & Ye, Y. (2008). Parimutuel betting on permutations. In Internet and Network Economics - 4th International Workshop, WINE 2008, Proceedings (pp. 126-137). (Lecture Notes in Computer Science (including subseries Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence and Lecture Notes in Bioinformatics); Vol. 5385 LNCS). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-92185-1_21