Abstract
One of a number of Bernoulli processes is selected at each of a number of stages. A success at stage i is worth αi and the problem is to maximize the expected payoff before the first failure. Results of Berry and Viscusi (1981) are generalized. In particular, we show that there is always an optimal strategy that uses a single process exclusively and indefinitely whenever the arms are independent and the discount sequence (α1, α2,...) is superregular. There is not always a similar reduction in the number of strategies when the discount sequence is not superregular.
| Original language | English (US) |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 317-325 |
| Number of pages | 9 |
| Journal | Stochastic Processes and their Applications |
| Volume | 15 |
| Issue number | 3 |
| DOIs | |
| State | Published - Aug 1983 |
Bibliographical note
Funding Information:* The first author’s research was supported research by NSF Grant No. MCS78-01168.
Funding Information:
by NSF Grant No. MCSSO-01800
Keywords
- Bernoulli processes
- Many-armed bandits
- gambling with discounting
- sequential decisions
- single-arm strategies
- stay-on-a-winner rule
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