Abstract
Lake Superior summer (July - September) surface water temperatures have increased approximately 2.5°C over the interval 1979-2006, equivalent to a rate of (11 ± 6) × 10-2°C yr-1, significantly in excess of regional atmospheric warming. This discrepancy is caused by declining winter ice cover, which is causing the onset of the positively stratified season to occur earlier at a rate of roughly a half day per year. An earlier start of the stratified season significantly increases the period over which the lake warms during the summer months, leading to a stronger trend in mean summer temperatures than would be expected from changes in summer air temperature alone.
Original language | English (US) |
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Article number | L06604 |
Journal | Geophysical Research Letters |
Volume | 34 |
Issue number | 6 |
DOIs | |
State | Published - Mar 28 2007 |
Bibliographical note
Funding Information:We thank Peter Grassberger and Hsiao-Ping Hsu for helpful discussions on the new PERM algorithms. This work is partially supported by the German-Israel-Foundation (GIF) under Contract No. I-653-181.14/1999.