Independent Risk Factors for Prolonged Tube Feeding After Endotracheal Intubation and Ventilation

Purpose: Postextubation dysphagia (PED) can lead to prolonged tube feeding, but risk factors associated with prolonged tube feeding in this population are largely unknown. The purpose of this study was to identify factors independently associated with prolonged tube feeding in adult inpatients who required intubation and mechanical ventilation. Materials and Methods: Retrospective observational cohort study in a dataset of 1.3 million inpatients. Extubated adults without preventilation dysphagia or tube feeding who underwent instrumental swallowing assessment were included. To characterize factors independently associated with prolonged tube feeding, we compiled a set of potential factors, completed factor selection using a random forest algorithm, and performed logistic regression. Results: In total, 206 of 987 (20.9%) patients had prolonged tube feeding. The regression model produced an area under the curve of 0.79. Factors with the greatest influence on prolonged tube feeding included dysphagia with thickened liquids, dysphagia with soft/solid foods, preadmission weight loss, number of intubations, admission for neurologic disorder, and hospital of admission. Conclusions: Several factors predicted prolonged tube feeding after extubation. The strongest were some, but not all, aspects of swallowing function and clinical practice pattern variability. Clinical decision-making should consider bolus-specific data from instrumental swallowing evaluation rather than binary presence or absence of dysphagia.