Abstract
The 1987 market crash was associated with a dramatic and permanent steepening of the implied volatility curve for equity index options, despite minimal changes in aggregate consumption. We explain these events within a general equilibrium framework in which expected endowment growth and economic uncertainty are subject to rare jumps. The arrival of a jump triggers the updating of agents' beliefs about the likelihood of future jumps, which produces a market crash and a permanent shift in option prices. Consumption and dividends remain smooth, and the model is consistent with salient features of individual stock options, equity returns, and interest rates.
| Original language | English (US) |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 552-573 |
| Number of pages | 22 |
| Journal | Journal of Financial Economics |
| Volume | 101 |
| Issue number | 3 |
| DOIs | |
| State | Published - Sep 2011 |
Keywords
- Implied volatility
- Option pricing
- Portfolio insurance
- Volatility smile
- Volatility smirk
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