Estimating structural changes in the vertical price relationships in U.S. beef and pork markets

Brenda L. Boetel, Donald J. Liu

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

12 Scopus citations

Abstract

This paper examines structural breaks in the vertical price relationships in U.S. beef/cattle and pork/hog sectors using monthly data of the past 40 years. A major methodological issue addressed is how to estimate price relationships when data contain intermittent structural breaks with unknown break dates. The adopted procedures endogenously search for structural break dates while explicitly accounting for this search in statistical inferences. Four breaks for the beef/cattle price relationship and three breaks for the pork/hog price relationship are identified. The estimation results further confirm the importance of allowing for structural breaks in the analysis of vertical price relationships.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)228-244
Number of pages17
JournalJournal of Agricultural and Resource Economics
Volume35
Issue number2
StatePublished - Aug 2010

Keywords

  • Farm cattle and hog prices
  • Long-run price relationship
  • Retail beef and pork prices
  • Structural breaks of unknown timing
  • Structural changes
  • Vertical price relationship

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