Abstract
OBJECTIVE: Rapid loss of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) within its normal range has been proposed as a strong predictor of future kidney disease. We investigated this association of eGFR slope early in the course of type 1 diabetes with long-term incidence of kidney and cardiovascular complications. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: The annual percentage change in eGFR (slope) was calculated during the Diabetes Control and Complications Trial (DCCT) for each of 1,441 participants over a mean of 6.5 years and dichotomized by the presence or absence of early rapid eGFR loss (slope ≤-3% per year) as the exposure of interest. Outcomes were incident reduced eGFR (eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2), composite cardiovascular events, or major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) during the subsequent 24 years post-DCCT closeout follow-up. RESULTS: At DCCT closeout (the baseline for this analysis), diabetes duration was 12 ± 4.8 years, most participants (85.9%) had normoalbuminuria, mean eGFR was 117.0 ± 13.4 mL/min/1.73 m2, and 149 (10.4%) had experienced early rapid eGFR loss over the preceding trial phase. Over the 24-year subsequent follow-up, there were 187 reduced eGFR (6.3 per 1,000 person-years) and 113 MACE (3.6 per 1,000 person-years) events. Early rapid eGFR loss was associated with risk of reduced eGFR (hazard ratio [HR] 1.81, 95% CI 1.18-2.79, P = 0.0064), but not after adjustment for baseline eGFR level (HR 0.94, 95% CI 0.53-1.66, P = 0.84). There was no association with composite cardiovascular events or MACE. CONCLUSIONS: In people with type 1 diabetes primarily with normal eGFR and normoalbuminuria, the preceding slope of eGFR confers no additional association with kidney or cardiovascular outcomes beyond knowledge of an individual's current level.
Original language | English (US) |
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Pages (from-to) | 585-593 |
Number of pages | 9 |
Journal | Diabetes care |
Volume | 45 |
Issue number | 3 |
DOIs | |
State | Published - Mar 1 2022 |
Bibliographical note
Publisher Copyright:© 2022 by the American Diabetes Association.
Keywords
- Albuminuria/complications
- Cardiovascular Diseases/complications
- Cardiovascular System/physiopathology
- Clinical Trials as Topic
- Diabetes Mellitus, Type 1/complications
- Glomerular Filtration Rate
- Humans
- Kidney/physiopathology
- Renal Insufficiency, Chronic/complications
PubMed: MeSH publication types
- Journal Article
- Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural