Data-Driven Analytics to Discover APRN's Impact on Nursing Home Hospitalization: Causal Discovery Analysis

Objectives: Research shows advanced practice registered nurses (APRNs) embedded in nursing homes (NHs) reduce resident hospitalizations. However, the specific APRN activities that reduce hospitalizations have not been adequately investigated. This study aims to identify the causal links between APRN activities and NHs resident hospitalization. The study also examined relationships among other variables, including advanced directives, clinical diagnosis, and length of hospitalization. Design: Secondary data analysis. Setting and Participants: Residents of NHs participating in the Missouri Quality Initiative for Nursing Homes, 2016–2019. Methods: We performed a secondary analysis of data from the Missouri Quality Initiative for Nursing Homes Intervention using causal discovery analysis, a machine learning, data-driven technique to determine causal relationships across data. The resident roster and INTERACT resident hospitalization datasets were combined to create the final dataset. Variables in the analysis model were divided into before and after hospitalization. Expert consensus was used to validate and interpret the outcomes. Results: The research team analyzed 1161 hospitalization events and their associated NH activities. APRNs evaluated NH residents before a transfer, expedited follow-up nursing assessments, and authorized hospitalization when necessary. No significant causal relationships were found between APRN activities and the clinical diagnosis of a resident. The analysis also showed multifaceted relationships related to having advanced directives and duration of hospitalization. Conclusions and Implications: This study demonstrated the importance of APRNs embedded in NHs to improve resident outcomes. APRNs in NHs can facilitate communication and collaboration among the nursing team, leading to early identification and treatment for resident status changes. APRNs can also initiate more timely transfers by reducing the need for physician authorization. These findings emphasize the crucial role of APRNs in NHs and suggest that budgeting for APRN services may be an effective strategy to reduce hospitalizations. Additional findings regarding advance directives are discussed.