Cumulative knowledge-based regression models for next-term grade prediction

Sara Morsy, George Karypis

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

11 Scopus citations

Abstract

Grade prediction for courses not yet taken by students is important so as to guide them while registering for next-term courses. Moreover, it can help their advisers for designing personalized degree plans and modifying them based on the students' performance. In this paper, we present cumulative knowledge-based regression models with different course-knowledge spaces for the task of next-term grade prediction. These models utilize historical student-course grade data as well as the information available about the courses that capture the relationships between courses in terms of the knowledge components provided by them. Our experiments on a large dataset obtained from the College of Science and Engineering at University of Minnesota show that our proposed methods achieve better performance than competing methods and that these performance gains are statistically significant.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Title of host publicationProceedings of the 17th SIAM International Conference on Data Mining, SDM 2017
EditorsNitesh Chawla, Wei Wang
PublisherSociety for Industrial and Applied Mathematics Publications
Pages552-560
Number of pages9
ISBN (Electronic)9781611974874
DOIs
StatePublished - 2017
Event17th SIAM International Conference on Data Mining, SDM 2017 - Houston, United States
Duration: Apr 27 2017Apr 29 2017

Publication series

NameProceedings of the 17th SIAM International Conference on Data Mining, SDM 2017

Other

Other17th SIAM International Conference on Data Mining, SDM 2017
CountryUnited States
CityHouston
Period4/27/174/29/17

Bibliographical note

Funding Information:
∗This work was supported in part by NSF (IIS-0905220, OCI-1048018, CNS-1162405, IIS-1247632, IIP-1414153, IIS-1447788) and the Digital Technology Center at the University of Minnesota. Access to research and computing facilities was provided by the Digital Technology Center and the Minnesota Supercomputing Institute. http://www.msi.umn.edu. †{morsy,karypis}@cs.umn.edu, Department of Computer Science & Engineering, University of Minnesota.

Publisher Copyright:
Copyright © by SIAM.

Keywords

  • Grade prediction
  • Knowledge acquisition modeling
  • Regression

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