A correction to this paper has been published: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11111-021-00381-x
Bibliographical noteFunding Information:
We are thankful for the valuable feedback provided by Jim Rowland, Gabriel Senay, and Shrad Shukla. This project was supported, in part by SERVIR Applied Science Team (AST) project NASA grant # 80NSSC20K0163.
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