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Asymptotic normality of semiparametric and nonparametric posterior distributions

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Abstract

In this article it is shown that the marginal semiparametric and nonparametric posterior distributions for a parameter of interest behave like an ordinary parametric posterior distribution. This in practice provides support of the utility of marginal semiparametric and nonparametric posterior distributions. In particular, the marginal semiparametric and nonparametric posterior distributions are asymptotically normal and centered at the corresponding maximum likelihood estimates (MLEs) or posterior means, with covariance matrix the inverse of the Fisher information. Additionally, the semiparametric and nonparametric MLEs for the parameter of interest and the marginal posterior means are asymptotically normal and centered at the true parameter, with the same covariance matrix. The results are a semiparametric version and a nonparametric version of the parametric Bayesian central limit theorem that establish a connection between the semiparametric and the nonparametric Bayesian inference and their frequentist counterparts.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)222-235
Number of pages14
JournalJournal of the American Statistical Association
Volume97
Issue number457
DOIs
StatePublished - Mar 2002

Bibliographical note

Funding Information:
XiaotongShenisAssociatePro,fDepartmentsesofoStatistics,r TheOhio State Un, Coiluvmbes, OHur4s321i0 (Et-ymil: [email protected])d. His rseewasarsupcprhotienpadbrytNonaal StietyAgcencyugrriant MDA4-998-1-00030 and National Science Foundation grant DMS-0072635. TheauthorthanksWingHungWong,StveMacEacherne ,andHrafnkelsson Bigirrfor helpful comments and discssionus. The author also thanks the edi-to, trehasciatesoeditor, anthe andonymous refeforr theeir evershyelpful cometsmnand suggetionss.

Keywords

  • Bayesian central limit theorem
  • Inference
  • Likelihood
  • Maximum likelihood
  • Normality
  • Posterior
  • Prior

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