TY - JOUR
T1 - Application of scale-recursive estimation to ensemble forecasts
T2 - Combined Preprints: 84th American Meteorological Society (AMS) Annual Meeting
AU - Kong, Fanyou
AU - Droegemeier, Kelvin K.
AU - Venugopal, V.
AU - Foufoula-Georgiou, Efi
PY - 2004
Y1 - 2004
N2 - The use of Advanced Regional Prediction System (ARPS) in producing multiple resolution ensemble forecasts for the Fort Worth, Texas, tornadic thunderstorm case was discussed. A five-member ensemble was created using the scaled lagged average forecasting (SLAF) technique at a grid spacing ranging from coarse to fine. SLAF ensembles were found to show very promising storm scale forecasting skill. It was proposed that the scale-recursive estimation (SRE) method should be applied to merge model precipitation output by blending the coarse resolution ensembles with statistical information from the fine resolution forecast.
AB - The use of Advanced Regional Prediction System (ARPS) in producing multiple resolution ensemble forecasts for the Fort Worth, Texas, tornadic thunderstorm case was discussed. A five-member ensemble was created using the scaled lagged average forecasting (SLAF) technique at a grid spacing ranging from coarse to fine. SLAF ensembles were found to show very promising storm scale forecasting skill. It was proposed that the scale-recursive estimation (SRE) method should be applied to merge model precipitation output by blending the coarse resolution ensembles with statistical information from the fine resolution forecast.
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M3 - Conference article
AN - SCOPUS:2442545292
SN - 0003-0007
SP - 2815
EP - 2821
JO - Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
JF - Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Y2 - 11 January 2004 through 15 January 2004
ER -