TY - JOUR
T1 - A nursing home in your future?
AU - Kane, Robert L
AU - Kane, Rosalie A
PY - 1991/2/28
Y1 - 1991/2/28
N2 - The article by Kemper and Murtaugh1 in this issue of the Journal employs a familiar algorithm to suggest the dire consequences of the aging of a society. Generally, the age- and sex-specific rates of elderly people today are multiplied by projections of their numbers in the future. Such a model predicts hordes of disabled older persons needing nursing homes. Indeed, using similar logic, many people have warned of an impending shortage of nursing home beds and have suggested that we start building now. This approach to forecasting evokes two responses. The first is to challenge the statistics, but if anything,.
AB - The article by Kemper and Murtaugh1 in this issue of the Journal employs a familiar algorithm to suggest the dire consequences of the aging of a society. Generally, the age- and sex-specific rates of elderly people today are multiplied by projections of their numbers in the future. Such a model predicts hordes of disabled older persons needing nursing homes. Indeed, using similar logic, many people have warned of an impending shortage of nursing home beds and have suggested that we start building now. This approach to forecasting evokes two responses. The first is to challenge the statistics, but if anything,.
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U2 - 10.1056/NEJM199102283240910
DO - 10.1056/NEJM199102283240910
M3 - Editorial
C2 - 1899472
AN - SCOPUS:0025974936
SN - 0028-4793
VL - 324
SP - 627
EP - 629
JO - New England Journal of Medicine
JF - New England Journal of Medicine
IS - 9
ER -